Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31d48303e16c4ef7025ea18eb30fb30a11afe14b14cfd842997b50573ff33311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunrisers Eastern Capeof Paarl Royals, Sunrisers Eastern Cape
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x601a…a675backed Paarl Royals | 16c | 4,457$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.21 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…a303backed Paarl Royals | 1c | 1,485$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paarl Royals | 3c | 1,198$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Paarl Royals | 25c | 850.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 60c | 563.23$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.31 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ec4abacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 75c | 470.24$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 53c | 265.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Paarl Royals | 47c | 224.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Paarl Royals | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Paarl Royals | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Paarl Royals | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…dc12backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 61c | 162.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Paarl Royals | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…5e29backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 71c | 144.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paarl Royals | 9c | 134.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paarl Royals | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…b1e6backed Paarl Royals | 28c | 87.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Paarl Royals | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…a337backed Paarl Royals | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 58c | 50.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…3487backed Paarl Royals | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Paarl Royals | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…2b46backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 33.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…93c7backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.