Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Frech (-1.5) vs Jeanjean (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3240ae79108830e12d7db977582313eaa9dcdb43562ae1b68e757d782a63bd12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frechof Frech, Jeanjean
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Frech | 50c | 6,914$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.93 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…968dbacked Jeanjean | 50c | 4,225$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Frech | 36c | 780$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.3 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…0f6bbacked Jeanjean | 50c | 605.68$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Jeanjean | 50c | 530.18$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Jeanjean | 50c | 472$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…1bcebacked Jeanjean | 50c | 468$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Frech | 43c | 465.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.23 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…84f9backed Jeanjean | 50c | 442$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Frech | 34c | 402.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Frech | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Jeanjean | 48c | 334$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Frech | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Jeanjean | 50c | 288.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed Jeanjean | 50c | 264$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Frech | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Frech | 34c | 220$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Frech | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Frech | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Frech | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked Jeanjean | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Frech | 39c | 92.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Jeanjean | 50c | 86.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…f76dbacked Frech | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Frech | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Frech | 37c | 40.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Jeanjean | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jeanjean | 50c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Frech (-1.5) vs Jeanjean (+1.5)this page
- Frech vs. Jeanjean: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia JeanjeanMagdalena Frech won
- Set 1 Winner: Frech vs JeanjeanFrech won
- Set 2 Winner: Frech vs JeanjeanFrech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.