Tennis · resolved market
ATP Toronto – Munar vs. Cerundolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x327d6577b73d89c40c07ee7c62318fe3f45d8aa7d26c0624b0440d616a02d77a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Munar, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cerundolo | 49c | 8,043$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.56 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Munar | 55c | 7,627$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.07 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Munar | 36c | 3,340$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.43 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cerundolo | 60c | 875.44$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Munar | 52c | 875$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Munar | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Cerundolo | 70c | 655.14$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…b45bbacked Munar | 42c | 654.91$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cerundolo | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cerundolo | 50c | 413.16$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.58 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Munar | 29c | 326$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cerundolo | 48c | 241.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Munar | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Cerundolo | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Munar | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Munar | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Cerundolo | 69c | 137.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Cerundolo | 62c | 126.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Cerundolo | 70c | 123.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Cerundolo | 52c | 110.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…a99ebacked Cerundolo | 50c | 86.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Cerundolo | 50c | 35.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.