NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Barys Astana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32bd7e8fb4a3453b3815dcefe2de6959ec389eb4f662f3e65fd7da653ef68bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Barys Astana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 64c | 444$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Barys Astana | 35c | 355.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Barys Astana | 37c | 325.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 68c | 146.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed Barys Astana | 36c | 134.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 132$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 117$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Barys Astana | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Barys Astana | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Barys Astana | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Barys Astana | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Barys Astana | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Barys Astana | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Barys Astana | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Barys Astana | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Barys Astana | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Barys Astana | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Barys Astana | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Barys Astana | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Barys Astana | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Barys Astana | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Barys Astana | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Barys Astana | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Barys Astana | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.