Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c97fc3376c7c222f3e97c8af53f63a21cbd5ef4bf31a6edc416a76d7822194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Fritz, Bergs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Bergs | 47c | 2,998$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.02 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Fritz | 53c | 2,064$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.68 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Fritz | 53c | 924.53$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bergs | 47c | 584.91$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Fritz | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Bergs | 48c | 265.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Fritz | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Fritz | 51c | 195.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Fritz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bergs | 45c | 161.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bf…4ea1backed Bergs | 39c | 141.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bergs | 51c | 139.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Fritz | 53c | 111.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Bergs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Fritz | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Fritz | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Fritz | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0d…b8ddbacked Fritz | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Fritz | 54c | 53.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bergs | 48c | 50.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Fritz | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Fritz | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Bergs | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Bergs | 48c | 23.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…ebb6backed Fritz | 53c | 18.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)this page
- Bergs vs. Fritz: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor FritzTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs FritzFritz won
- Zizou Bergs vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.