College Football · resolved market
Will Georgia win by 14 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ada1a6255f20d2903a30d3ce198161fa5ff05e88eefef5b891343dd6a4e293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Yes | 48c | 20,300$9,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,556 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 52c | 17,187$8,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,896.53 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 54c | 7,876$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.08 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…4979backed Yes | 47c | 6,225$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +138%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 51c | 814.84$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.22 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Yes | 46c | 489.46$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 56c | 455$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked No | 46c | 429.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked No | 59c | 394.91$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 52c | 330.77$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Yes | 48c | 322$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked No | 29c | 245$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed No | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Yes | 49c | 127.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 55c | 117.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…1d0abacked No | 51c | 105.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f3a1backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…466ebacked Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…9748backed Yes | 47c | 55.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…5924backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 45c | 40.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…ce87backed Yes | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia win by 14 or more points?this page
- Clemson vs. Georgia winner?Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.