Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33b6d1d1e546d13e1e9389a4a2c583043a9e669e93ac7ba80965ba8d1c2ec982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Over | 52c | 9,008$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 3,950$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 3,183$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 2,406$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.36 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 1,696$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.97 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 1,685$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.69 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 54c | 874.11$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.65 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 486.58$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 53c | 249.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 225$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 52c | 189$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 51c | 174$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 57c | 127.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 57c | 87.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 57c | 82.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 51c | 74.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 59.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 45c | 30.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…1c15backed Over | 54c | 25.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a3…4f47backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 56c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 146.5this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-21.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-22.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.