La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33b9a9b4fa111270542f8f80e3790a084addaef099c854a97d096357980cd476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 47c | 1,460$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.43 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 565.19$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.18 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 53c | 440$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 340.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.01 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 53c | 288.35$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 47c | 239.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 222.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 47c | 212.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Yes | 47c | 210.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 47c | 159.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 53c | 157.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 46c | 152.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 76c | 149.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 25c | 127$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 121.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 45c | 114.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 105.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5996…d1b9backed Yes | 48c | 100.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…728dbacked Yes | 47c | 96.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…1517backed Yes | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 56c | 79.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 53c | 62.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Yes | 47c | 61.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 29c | 47.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Yes | 45c | 44.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 53c | 39.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…56f4backed Yes | 47c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b8…0590backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?No won
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.