College Football · resolved market
Spread: Rutgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33e45d9250bcf0fa3d9e3fccbcba8ced08a25070b3179e99682dc75f54932a58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgersof Rutgers, Purdue Boilermakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 8,814$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers | 48c | 5,513$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.2 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rutgers | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rutgers | 47c | 1,124$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.14 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 1,028$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.47 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rutgers | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Rutgers | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked Rutgers | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rutgers | 46c | 352.69$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Rutgers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Rutgers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Rutgers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Rutgers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 54c | 186.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rutgers (-1.5)this page
- O/U 59.5Under won
- Rutgers vs. Purdue BoilermakersRutgers won
- Rutgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 58.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.