Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Eliakim Coulibaly
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340cfbc6797e8267ce41415bdaeb342cb031a48485a38d591cb7ce7741fbdaa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Pavlovicof Luka Pavlovic, Eliakim Coulibaly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 69c | 645$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 31c | 645$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 28c | 603.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 15c | 430.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…24fabacked Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 409.72$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 274.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…a0c9backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 9c | 234.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 33c | 222.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 75c | 174.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 71c | 134.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 71c | 129.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Luka Pavlovic | 72c | 116.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 26c | 112.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 65c | 85.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 28c | 77.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eliakim Coulibaly | 21c | 50.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 26c | 43.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 37.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Eliakim Coulibaly | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 31.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…6a73backed Luka Pavlovic | 73c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.