Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340df40d8451991002806679cc76144d2251eba053e967f56e9e4b44e041a368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Esprit Shōnen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Esprit Shōnen | 16c | 25,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Esprit Shōnen | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Galions | 73c | 8,075$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.2 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Esprit Shōnen | 1c | 5,487$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions | 76c | 2,335$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.08 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 1,599$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Esprit Shōnen | 17c | 678.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Esprit Shōnen | 10c | 479.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Galions | 80c | 375.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 330$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Galions | 77c | 310.19$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…fafdbacked Galions | 77c | 305.26$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Esprit Shōnen | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Esprit Shōnen | 15c | 192.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Galions | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Galions | 75c | 144$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Galions | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 133.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Galions | 73c | 105.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Esprit Shōnen | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…9b3fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Galions | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Galions | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Galions | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Galions | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 82.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Galions | 67c | 66.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Esprit Shōnen | 51c | 55.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Galions | 77c | 52.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Esprit Shōnen | 50c | 49.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Galions | 57c | 44.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Galions | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Galions | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.