TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
UCAM Esports Clubof ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix, UCAM Esports Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,791 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec54…e8c1backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix40c6,182$2,485 inLost-$2,485.391,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed UCAM Esports Club60c5,042$3,025 inWon+$2,016.7416356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked UCAM Esports Club59c1,100$649 inWon+$4511,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix28c400$114 inLost-$1142,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed UCAM Esports Club69c399.7$277 inWon+$122.6432755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix28c350$97 inLost-$96.82,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix41c277.44$114 inLost-$113.757732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed UCAM Esports Club71c200$142 inWon+$581,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked UCAM Esports Club72c200$144 inWon+$5617042.9%73 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed UCAM Esports Club59c181.53$108 inWon+$73.9244451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed UCAM Esports Club60c66.67$40 inWon+$26.6732050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…cae0backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix37c49.97$18 inLost-$18.4941947%197 W · 222 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed UCAM Esports Club67c44.84$30 inWon+$14.844161%25 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked UCAM Esports Club59c42.37$25 inWon+$17.3719148.7%93 W · 98 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed UCAM Esports Club60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.3312458.1%72 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix56c31.73$18 inLost-$17.7710749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix40c25.33$10 inLost-$10.1334250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked UCAM Esports Club60c18.92$11 inWon+$7.5732053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix56c18.27$10 inLost-$10.237335.6%26 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4789…8361backed UCAM Esports Club60c18.13$11 inWon+$7.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+42.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.