Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3468ac14ea62c0c0fb66536b386ab605f668cdb7240d0e18f2b71f651f4c3d56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof FunPlus Phoenix, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc290…2e06backed JD Gaming | 10c | 500.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 347.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed JD Gaming | 41c | 242.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked JD Gaming | 17c | 212$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…5ef9backed JD Gaming | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 61c | 164.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 150.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked JD Gaming | 15c | 147.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed JD Gaming | 14c | 139.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed JD Gaming | 40c | 126.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed JD Gaming | 11c | 95.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 85.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed JD Gaming | 40c | 82.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 81.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked JD Gaming | 43c | 69.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 64.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed JD Gaming | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JD Gaming | 40c | 47.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming | 40c | 39.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-InsJD Gaming won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.