Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34742089149773343e67a48049ab35a595feca856df091e8c6532d976eb0f0a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 48c | 267$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Over | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Over | 50c | 99.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 59c | 78.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 78.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 48c | 52.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Under | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 44c | 36.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Over | 55c | 31.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…be1dbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.