CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3475f7896330f5e3d576a922a2df9c5478ac2c0d2265688fd0709e392e56b229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked OG | 52c | 1,058$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.92 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Metizport | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed OG | 52c | 665.21$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Metizport | 48c | 541.55$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Metizport | 51c | 516$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.71 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed Metizport | 24c | 502.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed OG | 46c | 304.74$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Metizport | 54c | 188.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked OG | 48c | 165$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked OG | 62c | 134.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Metizport | 28c | 124.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked OG | 71c | 119.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Metizport | 15c | 103.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…123dbacked OG | 50c | 72.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed OG | 72c | 71.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 62c | 70.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…85a1backed Metizport | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed OG | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked OG | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed OG | 71c | 41.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Metizport | 48c | 36.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Metizport | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Metizport | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OG | 67c | 24.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Metizport | 47c | 21.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…480abacked OG | 76c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: OG vs Metizport - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.