Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34850fc83286fa87c62eb175cfad47e8ab846fd3e4b03ee49cb0cc8a9a1e4753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michigan Chippewasof Northern Illinois Huskies, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fa…595fbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 36c | 4,200$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0adcbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 64c | 3,140$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc9…d553backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 65c | 1,889$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…e705backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 35c | 1,410$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 34c | 893.38$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 3c | 703$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 63c | 571.73$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 22c | 387.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…c367backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 66c | 367$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…e69ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 65c | 215$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 78c | 182.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 35c | 164$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 64c | 159.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 36c | 140.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 23c | 132.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 124.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 80c | 109.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 86.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 35c | 75.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 65c | 44.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 23c | 43.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 37c | 34.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 76c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 17.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Central Michigan Chippewasthis page
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Central Michigan Chippewas (-3.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
- Spread: Central Michigan Chippewas (-4.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.