Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x349d5590dfa2457b69b514c0d3049bfd9f9ea597682657a2d9e78034334e117e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 6,368$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 4,700$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.98 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 2,884$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.66 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,752$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.72 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 848.28$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 29c | 778.76$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 700$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 47c | 604.26$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 559.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 428.07$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.11 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 391.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 21c | 382.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 40c | 378.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…b910backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 294.13$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 46c | 203.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Yes | 44c | 199.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 17c | 152.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 120.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 109.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 45c | 98.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 90.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 15c | 71.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 67.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Yes | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 75c | 56.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…d919backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…bc20backed Yes | 24c | 53.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 46c | 51.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 45c | 50.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 80c | 38.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked No | 55c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 67c | 29.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 22.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 55c | 21.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 55c | 20.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-02-20?No won
- Will VfL Bochum vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.