Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 131.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a73105f6446b5e02f9ae0eda147e1c72488d264b4f47b4a4e29afb6f969696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Over | 54c | 2,048$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 52c | 1,536$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.21 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 48c | 1,139$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.32 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 46c | 739.13$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 55c | 649.4$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.23 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 621.39$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 46c | 593.46$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 45c | 257.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 46c | 235.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 47c | 157.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 152.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 151.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 45c | 141.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 57c | 113.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…29acbacked Under | 45c | 111.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 41.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 32.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 30.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 131.5this page
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant BulldogsBryant Bulldogs won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 130.5Over won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 132.5Over won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 133.5Over won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 134.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.