Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34bc14dbc1fd8a28970c3db8aef8e9f83630cc775e0e0a15ffd356f1ada66ce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 14c | 1,671$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,075$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.52 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 404.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 359.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 48c | 357.25$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 52c | 298.83$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 250.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 149.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 71.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 62.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 49.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 54c | 29.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 51c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 50c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.