Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae189ece381e8c58eeb1590645f4fd55d4231fc21e0914ff53c0f1767d1d50b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackburn Rovers FCof Sheffield United FC, Blackburn Rovers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Sheffield United FC | 28c | 407.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Sheffield United FC | 27c | 407.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Sheffield United FC | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Sheffield United FC | 26c | 149.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sheffield United FC | 24c | 108.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 72c | 104.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Blackburn Rovers FC | 71c | 103.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Sheffield United FC | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sheffield United FC | 24c | 46.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Blackburn Rovers FC | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +12.0wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 70c | 30.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Blackburn Rovers FC | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 73c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 75c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 75c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 75c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 75c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Blackburn Rovers FC | 75c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Blackburn Rovers FC | 75c | 13.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.