Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c0ccde5c60839f4fda9d465c22061642b7f902a471cb851e094e3c3d29aaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hunterof Hunter, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Hunter | 33c | 4,999$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.64 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maneiro | 67c | 3,687$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Maneiro | 67c | 2,488$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.03 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Hunter | 69c | 2,105$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Maneiro | 51c | 940.45$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.19 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Hunter | 26c | 805.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.11 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maneiro | 32c | 660.93$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Maneiro | 36c | 470.01$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maneiro | 12c | 302.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Maneiro | 67c | 298.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Hunter | 32c | 155$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Hunter | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maneiro | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hunter | 65c | 109.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Maneiro | 57c | 104.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maneiro | 32c | 82.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Maneiro | 66c | 80.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Maneiro | 33c | 64.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Maneiro | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Maneiro | 70c | 57.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Maneiro | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hunter | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Maneiro | 48c | 24.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Maneiro | 70c | 17.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Maneiro | 70c | 14.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirothis page
- Hunter vs. Maneiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Maneiro (-1.5) vs Hunter (+1.5)Hunter won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.