Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Fadi Bidan vs Elgin Khoeblal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x350728ca5c1d6467bbb2a0901cb1f4a2091746880666f929d67513fe6c09b221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fadi Bidanof Fadi Bidan, Elgin Khoeblal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elgin Khoeblal | 65c | 7,917$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Fadi Bidan | 21c | 3,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Elgin Khoeblal | 2c | 1,836$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Fadi Bidan | 56c | 1,713$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.65 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Fadi Bidan | 52c | 764.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.83 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Fadi Bidan | 52c | 748.22$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.62 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Elgin Khoeblal | 56c | 731.15$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.44 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Fadi Bidan | 22c | 524$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.72 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fadi Bidan | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fadi Bidan | 52c | 256.7$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fadi Bidan | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Elgin Khoeblal | 54c | 197.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…70babacked Fadi Bidan | 52c | 191.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Fadi Bidan | 45c | 186.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Fadi Bidan | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Elgin Khoeblal | 6c | 169$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Fadi Bidan | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Elgin Khoeblal | 17c | 129.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Fadi Bidan | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Fadi Bidan | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fadi Bidan | 20c | 100.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elgin Khoeblal | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Fadi Bidan | 56c | 87.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Fadi Bidan | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Fadi Bidan | 24c | 74.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fadi Bidan | 52c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Fadi Bidan | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Elgin Khoeblal | 35c | 49.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Fadi Bidan | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Elgin Khoeblal | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Fadi Bidan | 53c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Elgin Khoeblal | 50c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18cc…1a8ebacked Elgin Khoeblal | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Elgin Khoeblal | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Elgin Khoeblal | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.