Tennis · resolved market
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Miriana Tona vs Lia Karatancheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x350738536370dbfbaf769b1d96964bed5a06c541649b13b9b2acc80751c409bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lia Karatanchevaof Miriana Tona, Lia Karatancheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miriana Tona | 5c | 9,103$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Miriana Tona | 4c | 7,297$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.54 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miriana Tona | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Lia Karatancheva | 61c | 922.89$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.93 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Miriana Tona | 22c | 761.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miriana Tona | 5c | 527.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miriana Tona | 35c | 362.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Miriana Tona | 19c | 299.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Miriana Tona | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Miriana Tona | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Miriana Tona | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Lia Karatancheva | 60c | 249.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Miriana Tona | 18c | 230.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Lia Karatancheva | 71c | 214.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Miriana Tona | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Miriana Tona | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Miriana Tona | 7c | 184.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Lia Karatancheva | 77c | 182.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 77c | 177.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Lia Karatancheva | 78c | 176.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Lia Karatancheva | 60c | 165.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Lia Karatancheva | 60c | 156$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Miriana Tona | 7c | 153.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 77c | 145.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Lia Karatancheva | 78c | 128.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Miriana Tona | 9c | 125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Miriana Tona | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Miriana Tona | 22c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Miriana Tona | 19c | 83.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Miriana Tona | 19c | 83.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…cba0backed Miriana Tona | 19c | 83.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Miriana Tona | 19c | 83.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…614cbacked Miriana Tona | 19c | 83.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Miriana Tona | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Miriana Tona | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Lia Karatancheva | 78c | 70.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 244 | 60.7%148 W · 96 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Miriana Tona | 24c | 64.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Miriana Tona | 40c | 60.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lia Karatancheva | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 60c | 55.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Lia Karatancheva | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Miriana Tona | 37c | 38.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Lia Karatancheva | 77c | 35.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Lia Karatancheva | 76c | 32.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Lia Karatancheva | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Miriana Tona | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Miriana Tona | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lia Karatancheva | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 79c | 29.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Lia Karatancheva | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Lia Karatancheva | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked Lia Karatancheva | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Lia Karatancheva | 77c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 244 | 60.2%147 W · 97 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Lia Karatancheva | 76c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Lia Karatancheva | 76c | 15.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.