CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Noir Verse (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x353a8a1999457673094550777ef67feae6bb83a866a8a2d8a810406ac12d8374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof FOKUS, Noir Verse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Noir Verse | 13c | 1,575$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Noir Verse | 11c | 936.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Noir Verse | 3c | 530$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Noir Verse | 13c | 525$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Noir Verse | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…a8aabacked Noir Verse | 12c | 375$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Noir Verse | 3c | 312.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…b7abbacked Noir Verse | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Noir Verse | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Noir Verse | 12c | 225$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…ccffbacked Noir Verse | 13c | 218.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Noir Verse | 7c | 140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Noir Verse | 10c | 134.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Noir Verse | 12c | 122.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed Noir Verse | 15c | 93.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…fbe2backed Noir Verse | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Noir Verse (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Noir Verse - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Noir Verse - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Noir Verse (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.