Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354a0abe146d37f06c4213e4dddfc0e1f3bcbbafc53a4547072f6de2acebc03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Bergs, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,973 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e0…1847backed Etcheverry | 48c | 5,575$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebca…a349backed Bergs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…04f6backed Bergs | 52c | 2,572$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Bergs | 1c | 1,570$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bergs | 3c | 476$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Etcheverry | 56c | 421.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bergs | 43c | 373.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Etcheverry | 45c | 245.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Bergs | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Etcheverry | 50c | 131.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Bergs | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bergs | 63c | 59.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Etcheverry | 51c | 29.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Bergs | 62c | 27.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Bergs | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bergs vs Etcheverrythis page
- Bergs vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Bergs vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Bergs vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Bergs vs. Etcheverry: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas EtcheverryTomas Etcheverry won
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Etcheverry won
- Zizou Bergs vs. Tomas Etcheverry: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.