La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3561278acb10bf8610a894ba6f5824d85ef01a8d1b070b8d04de1b69cb017d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 812.43$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 39c | 387.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 52c | 386$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 43c | 370.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 62c | 274.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 63c | 155$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 64c | 128.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 56c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Under | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Málaga CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. Burgos CF: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.