CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x356dde50f68248364c70799ca0d62130d0543e107abf97ec4d3353f644912b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haunted Houseof Haunted House, THUNDER dOWNUNDER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4247…91c4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 14c | 2,468$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.86 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Haunted House | 74c | 1,283$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.64 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 38c | 1,148$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Haunted House | 63c | 370.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Haunted House | 53c | 341$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 44c | 307.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 283.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Haunted House | 62c | 219.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Haunted House | 44c | 207.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 27c | 123.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Haunted House | 65c | 111.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Haunted House | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Haunted House | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Haunted House | 51c | 84.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Haunted House | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Haunted House | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Haunted House | 70c | 57.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Haunted House | 44c | 33.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Haunted House | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Haunted House | 60c | 21.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…14f6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 20.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 46cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group BTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.