CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06c52d490063d85a8b658dbf66c8ec5e33c84967ff5890727957ca61ea4cefa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- THUNDER dOWNUNDERof Haunted House, THUNDER dOWNUNDER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 2,025$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.23 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 14c | 694.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.01 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 610.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.33 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Haunted House | 78c | 600$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.03 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 600$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.01 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 5c | 599.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.48 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Haunted House | 54c | 556.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 499.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.54 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…556dbacked Haunted House | 4c | 441$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…75f5backed Haunted House | 4c | 422$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 421.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.83 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…11d1backed Haunted House | 4c | 418$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 389.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.04 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Haunted House | 52c | 385.26$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 366$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.17 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…e779backed Haunted House | 4c | 365$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed Haunted House | 4c | 303$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 46c | 301.65$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 34c | 294.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 229.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 192.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Haunted House | 43c | 190.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…b1e7backed Haunted House | 34c | 170.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Haunted House | 68c | 161.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…ec7dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 159.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 140.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 17c | 100.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 43c | 93.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf349…3398backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 92.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Haunted House | 69c | 83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…0672backed Haunted House | 68c | 58.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed Haunted House | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Haunted House | 69c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 42.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…2087backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 49c | 41.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Haunted House | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked Haunted House | 54c | 21.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…a507backed Haunted House | 66c | 19.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 WinnerHaunted House won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.