Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Ruzic vs Svitolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3570c68be7c4df177ef80d9bb62638113f534609974ad5bbee1b6e18db9775f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruzicof Ruzic, Svitolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Svitolina | 35c | 564.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ruzic | 17c | 500$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…4284backed Ruzic | 49c | 390.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Svitolina | 16c | 292.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ruzic | 65c | 235.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ruzic | 47c | 228.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Ruzic | 64c | 164.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Svitolina | 29c | 152.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Svitolina | 69c | 129.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165a…9148backed Svitolina | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Svitolina | 18c | 91.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Ruzic | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Svitolina | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ruzic | 47c | 67.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Svitolina | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Svitolina | 58c | 56.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…f111backed Svitolina | 68c | 41.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Ruzic | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Svitolina | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Svitolina | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Svitolina | 55c | 36.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Ruzic vs Svitolinathis page
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Antonia Ruzic vs Elina SvitolinaSvitolina won
- Ruzic vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Ruzic vs. Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.