Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Nao Hibino vs Whitney Osuigwe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3585711d6f47b65e96ef02d705339f2e9f349daee3c67875de7811d181bccef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hibinoof Hibino, Osuigwe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hibino | 60c | 1,812$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.04 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Osuigwe | 18c | 1,721$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.78 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Hibino | 56c | 1,515$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.23 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Hibino | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Osuigwe | 42c | 1,375$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Hibino | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Osuigwe | 41c | 727.21$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Osuigwe | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Osuigwe | 41c | 558$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.56 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hibino | 56c | 445.52$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Hibino | 63c | 397.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…7336backed Osuigwe | 41c | 346$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Osuigwe | 39c | 335.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Osuigwe | 41c | 310$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Osuigwe | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hibino | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Osuigwe | 44c | 293.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Osuigwe | 37c | 283.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Hibino | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Osuigwe | 21c | 248.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Osuigwe | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Osuigwe | 33c | 193.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Osuigwe | 38c | 181.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Osuigwe | 23c | 113.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Hibino | 59c | 108.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Hibino | 56c | 100.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Osuigwe | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Osuigwe | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Osuigwe | 40c | 99.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hibino | 74c | 93.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Osuigwe | 48c | 83.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…1c7dbacked Osuigwe | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Osuigwe | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Osuigwe | 20c | 62.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Osuigwe | 29c | 51.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Osuigwe | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Osuigwe | 37c | 45.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Osuigwe | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Osuigwe | 41c | 37.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Osuigwe | 45c | 32.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Hibino | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Osuigwe | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…7758backed Hibino | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Hibino | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Hibino | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.