Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x359245172d6c610c6bd09dd6d34d65985203335d7a9e18c1a2140685daa40bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 2,428$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,845$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.45 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 1,083$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,072$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66b…a324backed Yes | 54c | 802.2$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 48c | 656.95$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.49 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 45c | 452.44$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 54c | 392.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 273$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 45c | 222.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 141.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 54c | 133.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 55c | 91.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 54c | 84.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 69.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 74c | 52.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 46c | 35.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Yes | 54c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.