TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Bebop vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CSDIILITof Bebop, CSDIILIT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,434 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…eab4backed CSDIILIT29c1,702$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.412944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Bebop66c766.31$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.021,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed CSDIILIT8c646.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.59153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Bebop65c617.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6592152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bebop66c556.17$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.732,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop64c312.37$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.926,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…d0eabacked CSDIILIT18c279.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.362429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed CSDIILIT14c150.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.882429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed CSDIILIT14c134.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9717836.5%65 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bebop72c99.17$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9e…8cc0backed CSDIILIT77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed CSDIILIT37c49.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.141,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked Bebop53c40.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.736732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Bebop59c34.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1743239.1%169 W · 263 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked CSDIILIT37c29.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5417050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Bebop76c15.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.116338.7%63 W · 100 L-13.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.