Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Jessika Ponchet vs Polina Kudermetova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c1e1bed233a8c8b511b9c11eced825fb0331f7c91159233fe219c58774d5e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polina Kudermetovaof Jessika Ponchet, Polina Kudermetova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Jessika Ponchet | 18c | 7,608$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.95 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Jessika Ponchet | 12c | 1,752$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jessika Ponchet | 9c | 1,276$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jessika Ponchet | 2c | 781.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Jessika Ponchet | 11c | 685.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Polina Kudermetova | 74c | 454.48$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Jessika Ponchet | 18c | 265.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jessika Ponchet | 15c | 145.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Jessika Ponchet | 28c | 132.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jessika Ponchet | 27c | 117.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Jessika Ponchet | 20c | 99.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Polina Kudermetova | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Jessika Ponchet | 22c | 64.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Polina Kudermetova | 72c | 64.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…91dbbacked Jessika Ponchet | 18c | 56.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Jessika Ponchet | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Jessika Ponchet | 27c | 48.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…5f37backed Polina Kudermetova | 75c | 39.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Polina Kudermetova | 72c | 25.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Polina Kudermetova | 73c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Polina Kudermetova | 80c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid: Jessika Ponchet vs Polina Kudermetovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ponchet vs KudermetovaKudermetova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.