CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35db7dc7327899a91d54f79a18c3621cad87c5bdde9450aefc0d45e8bbcbc562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Chinggis Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Chinggis Warriors | 17c | 12,042$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.25 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Chinggis Warriors | 6c | 7,176$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.82 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Chinggis Warriors | 12c | 3,085$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Chinggis Warriors | 15c | 988.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 916.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Chinggis Warriors | 15c | 699.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 485$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Chinggis Warriors | 14c | 472.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Chinggis Warriors | 15c | 337.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…a4eebacked Chinggis Warriors | 5c | 298.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 238.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Chinggis Warriors | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked Chinggis Warriors | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Chinggis Warriors | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…ab88backed Chinggis Warriors | 8c | 182.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chinggis Warriors | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Chinggis Warriors | 16c | 136.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Chinggis Warriors | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Chinggis Warriors | 19c | 128.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Chinggis Warriors | 16c | 127.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Chinggis Warriors | 15c | 107.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Chinggis Warriors | 14c | 107.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FlyQuest | 79c | 105.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…7839backed Chinggis Warriors | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed Chinggis Warriors | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…ae80backed Chinggis Warriors | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…296ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 17c | 72.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Chinggis Warriors | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Chinggis Warriors - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Chinggis Warriors - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.