La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35dc921ab2bfb0537bd08ad29413c3dc0589d30dfba900454336ae774fa1b20d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elche CFof Real Sociedad, Elche CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad | 35c | 11,233$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Elche CF | 65c | 9,548$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.03 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Real Sociedad | 36c | 2,048$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Elche CF | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Real Sociedad | 34c | 1,733$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.27 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Elche CF | 65c | 1,721$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.93 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Real Sociedad | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Elche CF | 64c | 455.59$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Real Sociedad | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Real Sociedad | 36c | 225$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Elche CF | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Elche CF | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Real Sociedad | 35c | 98.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Elche CF | 66c | 92.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…f08fbacked Real Sociedad | 34c | 54.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Elche CF | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…5365backed Elche CF | 64c | 49.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Elche CF | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1c75backed Elche CF | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…d68ebacked Elche CF | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad (-0.5)this page
- Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.