South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360a70f7b540450d05c197470afa193e4781901f70c4d933ebe95fce7001fea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 4,133$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 28c | 2,445$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.84 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 69c | 1,777$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 77c | 904.28$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 761$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 71c | 711.58$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 77c | 533.66$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.92 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 77c | 369$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 10c | 357.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 193.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 77c | 181$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 78c | 137$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over | 77c | 128$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Over | 77c | 126$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 77c | 110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 77c | 108$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 47c | 105.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over | 77c | 99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 65cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Over | 77c | 98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 89.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Over | 77c | 77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 77c | 63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 78c | 62.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 77c | 61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 25c | 57.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 28c | 53.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 23c | 51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…4216backed Under | 24c | 46.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 77c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 30c | 35.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 53c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 65c | 19.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Over | 63c | 18.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.