CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3637fbeb4d1f1f11de528a13e431cc22278671f502fb40895aa8a32b7dee20f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked SPARTA | 57c | 3,268$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.88 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atreides | 45c | 1,829$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 44c | 996.76$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 78c | 453.59$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed SPARTA | 13c | 371.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed SPARTA | 54c | 299.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Atreides | 35c | 297.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed SPARTA | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked SPARTA | 42c | 241.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 58c | 122.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Atreides | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Atreides | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked SPARTA | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Atreides | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Atreides | 35c | 86.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Atreides | 65c | 71.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Atreides | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Atreides | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Atreides | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Atreides | 55c | 39.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Atreides | 46c | 37.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Atreides | 46c | 34.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atreides | 49c | 30.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Atreides | 46c | 28.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Atreides | 79c | 24.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group CAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)Atreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.