CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae97a25f08de71ebb7ace7ab0856f3e92d023556930b50deca6e71b40d55b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof Atreides, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed SPARTA | 30c | 652.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.78 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Atreides | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Atreides | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed SPARTA | 54c | 555$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.16 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Atreides | 28c | 547.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed SPARTA | 71c | 424.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 49c | 359.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 46c | 359.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Atreides | 29c | 276.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Atreides | 79c | 253$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.07 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 48c | 240.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed SPARTA | 46c | 218.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked SPARTA | 51c | 199.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atreides | 49c | 199.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 41c | 192$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Atreides | 62c | 161.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides | 62c | 158.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…78d4backed SPARTA | 67c | 148.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 69c | 136.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides | 49c | 127.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked SPARTA | 51c | 118.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 58c | 108.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA | 49c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Atreides | 43c | 98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 48c | 94.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Atreides | 64c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 49c | 88.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SPARTA | 53c | 88.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed SPARTA | 36c | 86.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 46c | 84.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed SPARTA | 41c | 84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SPARTA | 57c | 78.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked Atreides | 68c | 73.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SPARTA | 69c | 71.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Atreides | 75c | 66.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Atreides | 30c | 61.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed SPARTA | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA | 41c | 49.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked SPARTA | 51c | 49.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed SPARTA | 56c | 42.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 45c | 40.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked SPARTA | 54c | 37.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed SPARTA | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Atreides | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Atreides | 53c | 22.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Atreides | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Atreides | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…e948backed Atreides | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group CAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Atreides (+1.5)Atreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.