CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36483ec7619a92d6652a2f8f660d1adaaddd18bc3fe7d8344530d4ac69bb6018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 71c | 4,080$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked HEROIC Academy | 29c | 2,658$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.06 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed HEROIC Academy | 30c | 2,575$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.32 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MANA eSports | 69c | 1,119$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.52 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HEROIC Academy | 41c | 897.91$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.14 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 59c | 565.72$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 216.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MANA eSports | 78c | 126.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed MANA eSports | 76c | 63.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked HEROIC Academy | 29c | 59.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MANA eSports | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MANA eSports | 66c | 41.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca6…8e5ebacked HEROIC Academy | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed MANA eSports | 76c | 39.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MANA eSports | 67c | 30.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked MANA eSports | 70c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 PlayoffsMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.