South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3655cf481e14d1e19a726fb2e40d33bdcea8694d7e8cb69458f214217eaee103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,800$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 3,311$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.93 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 2,224$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 1,525$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 55c | 909.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 48c | 368$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.47 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 45c | 350.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 49c | 313$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 305.76$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 43c | 302.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 7c | 268$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 145.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 62c | 125$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 113.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 47c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 46c | 82.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 76.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 59c | 71.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 65.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 57c | 64.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 54c | 59.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 45c | 53.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 43c | 36.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 33.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 45c | 30.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 55c | 30.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…119ebacked Yes | 54c | 29.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 46c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.