NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x369d7778b455fc3e7fe76f842bb112ca58d7a0518395caf0a23c043e9a7deb4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Blues, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Bruins | 67c | 10,500$7,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…d25cbacked Blues | 33c | 10,500$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Blues | 34c | 3,750$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Bruins | 66c | 3,600$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins | 69c | 1,460$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.74 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 31c | 737.7$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Bruins | 70c | 314.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 42c | 249.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bruins | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bruins | 67c | 156.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Bruins | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Blues | 33c | 148.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Blues | 32c | 142.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Blues | 33c | 122.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Blues | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Blues | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blues | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Blues | 32c | 74.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Blues | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Blues | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Blues | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Blues | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Blues | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Blues | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Bruins | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…e751backed Bruins | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Blues | 49c | 27.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Bruins | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Bruins | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. BluesBruins won
- Bruins vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.