Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 4: Tiago Torres vs Jaime Faria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b07a5cbbc1d581694bcb0b70fe840e4e147bbcce14386b6b3bc1ec99ef9a51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaime Fariaof Tiago Torres, Jaime Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tiago Torres | 7c | 28,265$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.87 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tiago Torres | 10c | 27,171$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.73 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Tiago Torres | 7c | 6,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tiago Torres | 7c | 2,380$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jaime Faria | 79c | 2,188$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tiago Torres | 7c | 2,154$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Tiago Torres | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Jaime Faria | 77c | 1,249$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.33 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Tiago Torres | 21c | 1,113$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.83 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tiago Torres | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tiago Torres | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tiago Torres | 8c | 857.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Tiago Torres | 2c | 730$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tiago Torres | 7c | 716.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tiago Torres | 7c | 544.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Torres | 9c | 486.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Tiago Torres | 18c | 421.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jaime Faria | 80c | 357.35$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Tiago Torres | 10c | 211.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tiago Torres | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tiago Torres | 23c | 195.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tiago Torres | 23c | 195.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Tiago Torres | 14c | 176.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Tiago Torres | 10c | 121.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Tiago Torres | 12c | 106.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tiago Torres | 18c | 106.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Tiago Torres | 19c | 52.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Jaime Faria | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Jaime Faria | 79c | 21.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Jaime Faria | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Jaime Faria | 78c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 4: Tiago Torres vs Jaime Fariathis page
- Torres vs. Faria: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.