South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36bd3e2d6e63c0b37165ed05e94408efc04a333f3aefe1d6b8faad7d584df726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 6,879$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 6,397$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.74 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 5,253$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.95 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 5,003$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 43c | 4,585$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.23 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked Yes | 42c | 2,726$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,160$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.92 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 22c | 913.42$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 62c | 775.61$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 38c | 767.93$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.02 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 35c | 637.09$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 508.32$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.17 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked No | 41c | 490.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 285.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 227.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 60c | 179.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 39c | 154.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 71c | 107.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 31c | 90.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 78.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 59.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 53c | 51.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 59c | 35.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…299cbacked No | 60c | 32.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…1903backed Yes | 41c | 31.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…44cdbacked Yes | 41c | 30.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…1b78backed No | 60c | 29.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…c0bdbacked No | 60c | 29.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf589…2d92backed Yes | 41c | 28.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…19eebacked Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeae…6366backed Yes | 41c | 27.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc130…ceccbacked No | 60c | 26.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…984dbacked Yes | 41c | 24.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…0061backed No | 60c | 24.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…653fbacked No | 60c | 23.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 58c | 20.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 60c | 20.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-06?No won
- Will Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.