Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x372125143ce94ba8d6559871c70e6962aff1d06d95725620306dc64214a2ed4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alvesof Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, Joao Eduardo Schiessl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 25c | 799.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 15c | 561.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 76c | 531.02$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 24c | 523.63$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 21c | 378.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 23c | 230.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 23c | 221.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 75c | 97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 77c | 35.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 75c | 18.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslthis page
- Set Handicap: Alves (-1.5) vs Schiessl (+1.5)Alves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.