Lol · resolved market
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Crvena zvezda Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x373e821a04d27d7afb0ec2f336bb052dac24b6fc8ca76ea40c508363a271c516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPIKE Syndicateof SPIKE Syndicate, Crvena zvezda Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed SPIKE Syndicate | 79c | 1,535$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.26 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed SPIKE Syndicate | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed SPIKE Syndicate | 79c | 699.99$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 21c | 647.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 22c | 503.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 391.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 21c | 311.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…4b3fbacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 297.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 22c | 263.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked SPIKE Syndicate | 77c | 190.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…4e1fbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 79c | 105.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…49eabacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 23c | 100.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…7f84backed SPIKE Syndicate | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…a77ebacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Crvena zvezda Esports | 19c | 96.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 18c | 91.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 28c | 88.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Crvena zvezda Esports | 25c | 61.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed SPIKE Syndicate | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…23f3backed SPIKE Syndicate | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed SPIKE Syndicate | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f91…a01fbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…6c98backed SPIKE Syndicate | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…cefdbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 76c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.