Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. Connecticut Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37487130d3a2da4349c608589c2209e819479870127c88281231b61cabaa3abf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Huskiesof Xavier Musketeers, Connecticut Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Xavier Musketeers | 5c | 18,962$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.08 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Xavier Musketeers | 5c | 9,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Xavier Musketeers | 5c | 3,069$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Xavier Musketeers | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xavier Musketeers | 4c | 1,627$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Xavier Musketeers | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 5c | 588.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 5c | 440.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Xavier Musketeers | 4c | 371.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Xavier Musketeers | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Xavier Musketeers | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 6c | 265$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Xavier Musketeers | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Connecticut Huskiesthis page
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-17.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.