WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37771d52b8d65eaa222dbb47e7ecd8d5d4b1d8828f3e43af6273abc658c6bc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Wings, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 20c | 3,076$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.4 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fever | 80c | 1,759$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.24 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 21c | 1,650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.7 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Fever | 80c | 1,365$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fever | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 12c | 557$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Wings | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Fever | 78c | 458.85$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Fever | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Fever | 76c | 247.23$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 13c | 226.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Wings | 22c | 111.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Fever | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Wings | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fever | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Fever | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.