CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37971fa6f27e9f0f31efea1971231f6b518858b436f8186535ac3bad36d2b65e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WATERMELONof WATERMELON, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 7,631$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.28 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed WATERMELON | 39c | 1,411$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.55 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked WATERMELON | 39c | 1,241$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.47 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked WATERMELON | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed WATERMELON | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed WATERMELON | 40c | 630$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed WATERMELON | 58c | 547.1$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.25 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 474.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked WATERMELON | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 367.32$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked WATERMELON | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed WATERMELON | 40c | 331.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.7 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked WATERMELON | 40c | 295$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed WATERMELON | 38c | 211.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked WATERMELON | 39c | 204$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9f…7482backed WATERMELON | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked WATERMELON | 71c | 177$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 159.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed WATERMELON | 37c | 136$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked WATERMELON | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed WATERMELON | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed WATERMELON | 40c | 91.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed WATERMELON | 38c | 57.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked WATERMELON | 67c | 56.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 28.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 14.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs Team Nemesis (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: WATERMELON vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerWATERMELON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.