Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37be27cea4ebd4918af53befed5d260e4bf3afaa6f4dd6b3165c683eff4ed6b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 1,296$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.77 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…c1febacked Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 66c | 752.83$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 391.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…ad8cbacked Over | 40c | 337$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 61c | 287.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 282.93$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 40c | 136.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 40c | 134.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 19c | 107.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…8cd7backed Under | 79c | 80.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 39c | 53.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Under | 61c | 43.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 37.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 60c | 27.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaf…ae2bbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 60c | 23.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.