Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37fd1d5717b5d8b1934a84abd74e8c1c8ab39c5164dc77d625f4ad0cd895c0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Power Rangers | 80c | 6,000$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.13 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 5,004$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.27 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nemiga Gaming | 8c | 1,203$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 1,155$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 398.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 281$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 268.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 194.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2685…bb3abacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Power Rangers | 78c | 127.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 105.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Power Rangers | 78c | 103.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Power Rangers | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 76.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Power Rangers | 68c | 62.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 56.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Power Rangers | 72c | 34.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Power Rangers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 22.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Power Rangers | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Power Rangers | 67c | 20.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group APower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)Nemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.